Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 18.566217 21.180443 24.148532 27.792419 32.179037 37.332398 43.908259
2025-08-24 14.978715 18.208947 22.199299 27.574329 34.756399 44.218078 57.968972
2025-08-31 12.727568 16.107236 20.515197 26.831221 35.901992 48.881314 69.700928
2025-09-07 11.283898 14.739047 19.444562 26.535652 37.355043 53.986055 83.149225
2025-09-14 9.892139 13.227196 17.918335 25.264744 37.015255 56.143870 92.259404
2025-09-21 8.752437 11.926778 16.510910 23.921540 36.255127 57.349189 99.873375
2025-09-28 7.968784 11.053251 15.619621 23.229424 36.393309 60.038141 111.002883
2025-10-05 8.159779 11.631660 16.973744 26.314299 43.510940 77.011813 158.038284
2025-10-12 7.879455 11.452159 17.103483 27.337151 47.074682 88.001054 196.581903
2025-10-19 7.283717 10.719884 16.253819 26.508800 46.912197 91.062583 216.110197
2025-10-26 7.061867 10.567943 16.351714 27.409157 50.368312 103.108512 267.327388
2025-11-02 6.655502 10.078186 15.821941 27.052747 51.112354 108.908228 302.581001
2025-11-09 6.254015 9.584422 15.271780 26.652902 51.842595 115.298738 345.785641
2025-11-16 5.918086 9.178556 14.844684 26.452013 53.015344 123.340814 402.065878
2025-11-23 5.546964 8.684009 14.211333 25.747309 52.867669 127.655787 446.844956
2025-11-30 5.266616 8.328582 13.804456 25.467063 53.709338 135.229410 514.278629
2025-12-07 4.895346 7.788151 13.007797 24.261430 52.009378 134.395623 538.947226
2025-12-14 4.545704 7.267347 12.213947 22.986210 49.945245 131.894048 553.411761
2025-12-21 4.296320 6.914334 11.719773 22.328710 49.427788 134.542579 602.254888
2025-12-28 4.462969 7.330202 12.755911 25.257144 59.336196 178.467461 1002.103779
2026-01-04 4.403189 7.319613 12.939499 26.226937 63.934062 205.094641 1349.444943
2026-01-11 4.176780 6.979617 12.423499 25.441599 63.049695 208.280701 1478.237122
2026-01-18 4.117556 6.956402 12.562686 26.295187 67.514053 237.873314 2010.911721